The professor, Robert Anderson, wanted to help law students choose where to take the exam.
"I suppose it's considered bad manners to point out that the same student who would have a 30% chance of passing the California bar exam might have an 70% chance of passing the bar examination in another state," he wrote in his personal blog WITTNESSETH.
His method considers LSAT score, law school class rank, law school ranking, and bar examination state.
Consider someone who scored a 150 on his or her LSAT, an average score, and graduated in the top half of their class — once again pretty average — from a top 50 law school. According to the calculator, he or she has an 89% of passing the bar in New York. But change one factor, law school rank to "not in the top 150," his or her probability drops to 79%. Now check California — 55%.
The details clearly matter.
Anderson cautioned that this calculator is an "experimental" version. He's hoping that law school administrations will send him better data so he can calibrate the calculator to make more accurate predictions.
Click here to check for yourself.
New York permits admission on motion, without examination, for applicants who have practiced for five of the preceding seven years, are admitted to practice in at least one reciprocal jurisdiction, and have graduated from an ABA-approved law school.
As of October 1, 2016, an applicant who sat for the UBE in another jurisdiction may transfer the score earned on that examination to New York in lieu of taking the UBE in New York. An applicant has three years from the date of an exam to transfer the UBE score to New York.
An applicant for admission in New York must also take and complete an online course in New York‐specific law, known as the New York Law Course (NYLC), and must take and pass an online examination, known as the New York Law Exam (NYLE). The NYLC is an online, on-demand course that covers important and unique aspects of New York law in the subjects of Administrative Law, Business Relationships, Civil Practice and Procedure, Conflict of Laws, Contracts, Criminal Law and Procedure, Evidence, Matrimonial and Family Law, Professional Responsibility, Real Property, Torts and Tort Damages, and Trusts, Wills and Estates. The NYLC consists of approximately 15 hours of videotaped lectures with embedded questions that must be answered correctly before an applicant can continue viewing the lecture. The NYLE is a 50-item, two hour, open book, multiple choice test administered online with the same subjects' as on the NYLC.